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Johnathan Reid's avatar

I thought this was a great project and was also very impressed at the winning team's effort to develop social and economic models: https://substack.com/@reiditwrite/note/c-143692006?r=wtpo

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Evelyn K. Brunswick's avatar

Pity I didn't know about this competition, as I would've most likely entered it. The problem though would've been their stipulation of population size (500-1500), and clearly also the journey time (i.e. generations) - this implies a very slow ship indeed if it's only going to the next system. I see a basic flaw there, which is that if it takes like 100 years to get there then there's no point, because within that hundred years the science of propulsion would've advanced sufficiently to cut that journey time down by an order of magnitude at least. Equally, by the time humanity has the technology to build any of those designs then it would also have that propulsion technology and the logistics/resources to build it.

Still, leaving those considerations aside, and notwithstanding I haven't (yet) read any of the proposals in detail, I am wondering whether or how much actual psychology they employed, because that's the crucial factor. In my own 'journey to Centauri' novella (it's in my Rejected Messages book, linked on my site) it builds the entire population around the social cognition number (aka Dunbar's number), which is 150. Except they don't start with 150 they start with 32 carefully selected couples aged 18-22 or so, the idea being they have children on the way. It also helps they have a shorter journey time (no more than 15 years), and the ship is more than capable of providing for actually a lot more than 150 (e.g. if they have to stay in orbit for a while and sort out the alien pathogen issue). The oldest children would be becoming teenagers by the time they arrive.

As such, because they are well within that evolutionarily programmed optimum population size, they can have an entirely communist/communalist social order. Yes, people have jobs like 'captain', but that's based on merit, not hierarchy (i.e. best person for each role). They don't have money because they share everything. The AI is simply there to assist and monitor stuff like life support, although it also has a simulation subroutine (that requires a much longer essay) and would probably end up connecting up with the galactic AI. I'm guessing the Hyperion people are assuming Centauri is uninhabited (not very likely IMO).

The other most important consideration is the human spectrum of needs (what Maslow called a hierarchy of needs), each of which need requires an opportunity for fulfilment, otherwise humans get seriously stressed (with all the social problems that produces). The problem with the current social order, or why it's a dystopia, is because one or more of these needs is prevented for everyone. Any hierarchical system would probably work in the same way and degenerate into a dystopia, which is also why they need to take the social cognition number into consideration.

It is interesting, though, that it seems all the entries imagined some version of a communal/liberal socialist social system - which is far more in keeping with innate human nature, of course. And it would have to be a system like that, because otherwise humans wouldn't be allowed out of their solar system in the first place... And yeah, that really is another story...

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